1. The Secondary Catastrophe

While the immediate blast of a nuclear war captures our imagination, the “indirect” effects are far deadlier. Recent modeling suggests that a regional conflict could kill 100 million instantly, but the resulting famine would claim 2 billion lives.

Regional War

2 Billion

Projected Deaths via Famine

Full-Scale War

5 Billion

Projected Deaths via Famine

This bar chart compares death tolls. A regional blast kills 0.1 billion, while regional famine kills 2.0 billion. A full-scale war famine is projected to kill 5.0 billion people, highlighting that famine is 50x more lethal than the initial blast in regional scenarios.
Source: Xia, L., et al. (2022). Nature Food. Analyzed by anancy.in

2. The Smoke Veil

The engine of famine is black carbon soot. Firestorms inject this into the stratosphere, where it persists for over a decade.

Source: Robock, A., et al. (2007). JGR. Visualized by anancy.in

3. The Big Freeze

This chart shows global temperature drops. Regional war causes a 1.5 degree Celsius drop. A full war causes a 10 degree drop globally, while continental interiors drop by 30 degrees.
Source: Coupe, J., et al. (2019). AGU Publications.

4. Agricultural Zero Hour

In a full-scale scenario, core staple crops face near-total failure as summer frosts kill plants before harvest.

A grouped bar chart showing crop yield reductions. Wheat yields drop by 95%, corn by 85%, rice by 75%.
Source: Jägermeyr, J., et al. (2020). PNAS.

5. Caloric Availability Forecast

An area chart showing global caloric availability over 5 years dropping to 30%.
Data: Rutgers University. Projection by anancy.in